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Great Basin Pulse

Water year 2027

How this year sits on the record

Trends is the decade view of snow, Truckee flow, and Lake Tahoe elevation. Live gauges, pillow cards, reservoir photos, and the data-center chapter live on Story. The map holds the quake catalog. This page does not reprint those.

Every water year is compared against the ten years before it, and against the same dates one year ago, so you can see whether this year is running wet, dry, or ordinary. Flow is the USGS daily river readings at Tahoe City, Farad, and Reno. Lake elevation is the USGS daily Tahoe surface series. Snow is the average from six SNOTEL stations, as a percent of that date's historical median, the same measure as the Story snow chapter, tracked October to September.

  • Notable

    A recreational HAB advisory is posted on California's map. That is a swim notice, not tap water.

Cubic feet per second (cfs) measures how much water passes a point every second. One cfs is about 7.5 gallons — roughly a large cooler’s worth — moving by each second. Glossary: cfs.

The shaded band is the range this measurement covered over the prior ten years, not a forecast. Each chart also draws the same dates from the previous water year. Notes on specific years were written by hand, each with a source link.

This week on the ground

USGS recorded 8 earthquakes of magnitude 1 or larger in the last 7 days around Reno and Tahoe. The strongest was magnitude 2.8, 20 km ESE of Silver Springs, Nevada. People reported feeling 1 of those. This is a seven-day count from the same catalog as the map, not a decade chart.

  • M 1.7 13 km ESE of Fernley, Nevada Mon, Oct 19, 10:12 AM
  • M 1.5 13 km E of Fernley, Nevada Sun, Oct 18, 7:47 PM
  • M 2.3 14 km E of Fernley, Nevada Sun, Oct 18, 7:39 PM
  • M 2.3 14 km ESE of Fernley, Nevada Sun, Oct 18, 2:40 PM
  • M 1.6 13 km ESE of Fernley, Nevada Sun, Oct 18, 2:22 PM
  • M 1.6 18 km SE of Silver Springs, Nevada Fri, Oct 16, 1:58 PM
  • M 2.8 20 km ESE of Silver Springs, Nevada Thu, Oct 15, 2:34 AM
  • M 1.5 21 km ESE of Silver Springs, Nevada Tue, Oct 13, 9:20 PM

Open the map to see locations. Story holds the cards for new M2.5+ events.

River flow

Truckee River at Tahoe City · water year 2027

This year, the same dates one year ago, and the median of the prior ten years. The shaded band is that ten-year high and low. A flood peak that would flatten the rest of the year is clipped so smaller days stay readable.

Get more data USGS Truckee River at Tahoe City 10337500

Truckee River at Farad · water year 2027

This year, the same dates one year ago, and the median of the prior ten years. The shaded band is that ten-year high and low. A flood peak that would flatten the rest of the year is clipped so smaller days stay readable.

Get more data USGS Farad 10346000

Truckee River at Reno · water year 2027

This year, the same dates one year ago, and the median of the prior ten years. The shaded band is that ten-year high and low. A flood peak that would flatten the rest of the year is clipped so smaller days stay readable.

Get more data USGS Reno 10348000

Lake Tahoe elevation

  • Trending

    Lake Tahoe surface elevation has been falling across the last 14 days of this water year.

    this water year's daily series on Trends, not a live snapshot alone

Lake Tahoe surface elevation · water year 2027

This year, the same dates one year ago, and the median of the prior ten years. The shaded band is that ten-year high and low. Tahoe's surface only moves a few feet, so this axis stays in that range.

Get more data USGS Lake Tahoe at Tahoe City 10337000

Snowpack

Sierra snowpack versus a typical year · water year 2027

This year, the same dates one year ago, and the median of the prior ten years. The shaded band is that ten-year high and low. A flood peak that would flatten the rest of the year is clipped so smaller days stay readable.

Get more data NRCS snow survey Palisades Tahoe Mt. Rose Ski Area Tahoe City Cross Heavenly Valley Echo Peak Marlette Lake

The Pyramid Lake Paiute Tribe's August 2026 data-center moratorium, TRIGID's river entitlement, and TMRPA's live comment hub sit in Story, not on these charts. Who supplies the campuses, and the live public process.

Notable years

  • Water year 2017 · January 2017 flood

    Warm Sierra storms ran snow levels above 8,000 feet. The Truckee rose above flood stage at Reno, Truckee, and Vista; downtown bridges closed and hundreds of homes evacuated.

    NOAA CNRFC storm summary, Jan–Feb 2017

  • Water year 2019 · Wet 2019 spring

    A solid Sierra snowpack kept spring and early-summer flow above the dry years that followed: a reminder that “normal” in this basin is a wide band, not a single line.

    California DWR water year hydrologic reports

  • Water year 2021 · 2021 drought summer

    Water years 2020–2022 were among California’s driest three-year stretches on record. Late-summer Truckee flow sat in the low end of the band on this chart.

    California DWR, Water Year 2023 wrap-up (drought context)

  • Water year 2022 · Third dry year

    Another meager snow year left little melt pulse behind. These markers are dates, not a claim that the gauge caused the drought, only that the river sat in a historically low range that year.

    California DWR drought documentation

  • Water year 2023 · 2023 melt pulse

    After one of the biggest snow years on record, spring runoff ran high for months as all that snow melted into the river. That’s a slow, seasonal melt, a very different (and much safer) kind of high water than the sudden rain-on-snow flood of January 2017.

    California DWR, Water Year 2023 wrap-up

  • Water year 2017 · Heavy 2017 snow, then rain

    A large Sierra snowpack met warm January storms, the same storms that flooded the river (see that chart). The April 1 reading here is the snowpack that fed it.

    NOAA CNRFC storm summary, Jan–Feb 2017

  • Water year 2021 · 2021 thin pack

    Statewide Sierra snowpack sat far below average by April 1st, one of three dry years in a row. A thin pack like this often melts out and disappears well before summer even starts, leaving less water for the months when it’s needed most.

    California DWR snow surveys / drought notes

  • Water year 2022 · 2022 still dry

    The third lean snow year in a row. Three consecutive below-average winters like this is what drives a multi-year drought, not any single dry year on its own.

    California DWR drought documentation

  • Water year 2023 · 2023 Sierra bounty

    Automated snow sensors across the Sierra measured 61.1 inches of snow water equivalent, the amount of water locked in the snowpack, 237% of the historical average for that date, among the largest snowpacks in the modern record. Central Sierra snowpack was also 237% of its April 1 average.

    California DWR, April 2023 snow survey